Breeders' Cup - At The Races

19:37 Del Mar (USA) 4 Nov 2017

Race 5 - Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (Grade 1) (3YO plus)

Winner $630,000 - 12 ran

5
Weighed In

LAST YEAR'S WINNER - OBVIOUSLY

Obviously
  • Trainer: Phil D'Amato
  • Jockey: Flavien Prat
  • Owner: Anthony Fanticola & Joseph Scardino
  • Odds: 11/2
  • Betting Stats
  • Favourites: 3/6 (50.0%) | Level stake profit +115.0%
  • Odds on Favs: None
  • Median winning price: 5.4/1

How has the favourite fared?
Half the winners were sent to post as favourite and it has certainly paid to follow the money. Jeremy Noseda’s Fleeting Spirit could only finish 4th when starting as favourite in 2008 but all the punter’s picks since then have been either 1st or 2nd.

Run record and class clues
Although there aren’t too many graded events for sprinters in US all six winners of this division in California already had a graded success in their PPs.

A last out victory is not an essential and only one of the winners came into the Turf Sprint with a tick in the win column. Local trainers sent out five of the six winners but Chad Brown showed he can also train turf sprinters by getting in on the act with Bobby’s Kitten in 2014.

Local trainers sent out five of the six winners but Chad Brown showed he can also train turf sprinters by getting in on the act with Bobby’s Kitten in 2014.

Run record and class clues
This race has been contested at five, five and half furlongs elsewhere but six and half furlongs at Santa Anita where, believe it or not, steady early fractions have been in evidence on occasion. I don’t think that will happen over the flying five at Del Mar! Look for entrants with enough early zip to lie close at the end of the back stretch.

Age group?
The young ‘uns have had it put up them by the older generation but that may have been a function of the peculiarity of the course used for running in California to date.

Draw
Given the track configuration, I’d be hoping for an inner draw but, of course, that can backfire with a missed break.

Conclusions

  • Prefer locally-trained runners.
  • Any European challenger will probably be tackling a turn for the first time – tread carefully.
  • Look for a low draw.
  • Experience teaches that the market is a good guide.