We should never forget the biggest priced winner in the history of the Breeders’ Cup came at Santa Anita when Arcangues, at 133-1 locally, took the Classic under master rider Jerry Bailey. It’s a timely reminder that big priced winners can be found if horseplayers are willing to dig deep into the form.
Watch the 2019 Breeders’ Cup at Santa Anita live on Sky Sports Racing (Sky 415 | Virgin 535) on Friday 1st and Saturday 2nd November.
Below, I’ve identified four longshots that I could see outrunning their odds.
Fair Maiden is a Godolphin filly trained by Eoin Harty and I think it is fair to say that had she not run in the Natalma at Woodbine last time, she would be headed to post at much shorter odds than currently on offer.
After a couple of runs on the synthetic surface at Arlington Park, she took a Listed stake in Canada in emphatic style and was sent to post for the Natalma as 3-5 favourite but didn’t give her running after tracking a muddling pace on the yielding going.
In her favour, she has the best Beyer figure in the field from her Listed win so, I’m hoping that the likely faster surface out west will see her return to that level of form which would make her competitive in this and certainly worth an interest at around the 16-1 on offer at the time of writing.
Matera Sky may be heading to California from Japan but he was bred in Kentucky. Twenty four of his 26 starts have come in his adopted homeland but he has twice ventured afield to take in the last two runnings of the Golden Shaheen in Dubai.
After taking a creditable 5th place in 2018, he put up a much better effort this year finishing 2nd, splitting Americans X Y Jet and Imperial Hint. The latter is vying for favouritism in the Sprint so the 33-1 currently available on this son of Breeders’ Cup Sprint winner Speightstown is enough to tempt me into having a modest wager.
Although I am keen on the chances of Circus Maximus in the Mile, I will kick myself if I don’t back it up with an each-way pop on Lord Glitters. His victory in this year’s Queen Anne at Royal Ascot reads well and he has had rough passages in his subsequent three starts.
He was compromised by dawdling fractions on his last run across the pond – in the 2018 Woodbine Mile - but that is very unlikely here.
It’s fair to say he is not the easiest to win with but he certainly has the ability if meeting all the lights on green which, as a late closer, is an essential. His outside draw is probably a bonus and it will help Jamie Spencer to take inside of the tight Santa Anita oval.
At the time of writing he is available at 20-1 and that is a backable price.
Wow Cat finished 2nd in this division in 2018 when she split Monomoy Girl and Midnight Bisou who, is a short-priced favourite this year after a seven for seven campaign so far.
Most of the races the favourite has won have been run in tepid fractions. Indeed, it is fair to say that very few distaff races during the season are run at a particularly strong pace but there is plenty of speed in this field.
Little has gone right for Wow Cat this time around but she is sure to benefit from the likely hot pace which will bring her strong finish into play. She was sent to post at 13/2 last year against the 16-1 currently on offer which has to be tempting, doesn’t it?