Santa Anita, 1st & 2nd November 2019
8

22:12 Santa Anita (USA) 01 Nov 2019

Race 8 - Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

Grade 1 | 2YO only

Winner $630,001 - 14 ran

1m

Firm

Draw Advantage: None

LAST YEAR'S WINNER - NEWSPAPEROFRECORD

Newspaperofrecord
  • Trainer: Chad Brown
  • Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr
  • Owner: Klaravich Stables, Inc
  • Odds: 3-5
  • Betting Stats
  • Favourites: 1/7 | Level stake loss -51.4%
  • Odds on Favs: None
  • Median winning price: 6.9/1

Watch the 2019 Breeders’ Cup at Santa Anita live on Sky Sports Racing (Sky 415 | Virgin 535) on Friday 1st and Saturday 2nd November.

How has the favourite fared?
This is another division where favourites have not fared well. Lady Eli in 2014 remains the only winning favourite in California and other than her, Laragh’s 3rd place in the inaugural running is the only time the jolly has got into the frame. And none of the other five gave their supporters any reason to get overly excited!

Run record and class clues
Unlike the male version, Chad Brown has an excellent record in this division, saddling the winner on four occasions. The first three prepped by winning the Miss Grillo (G3) at Belmont but, two years ago, Rushing Fall picked up her second win from two starts in the Jessamine at Keeneland on her way to taking this in Del Mar.

European-trained horses have picked up the top prize on two occasions with Chrisellam and Flotilla scoring in 2012 and 2013. Aidan O’Brien has had seven starters in this in California but a couple of placed efforts so far is his return from his septet.

Five of the winners arrived on the big day as last out winners and the other pair had shown good form in major contests, although Flotilla only had a maiden win in the bank before her success for trainer Mikel Delzangles.

Run styles
Other than when Tapitsfly stalked the somewhat soft pace in 2009 before taking over late on, from the pacemaker who took 2nd place – often a sign of gentle fractions – the successful run style has been closing or deep closing.

Draw
Rushing Fall became the second winner of the division to break from one of the outside four post positions but, in general, and just like the colts and gelding version, there is a preference for a low draw and four of the winners have emerged from the inside four post positions.

Guidelines

  • Not a race to follow the market leader blindly.
  • Chad Brown generally brings a major contender.
  • Prefer runners drawn low.
  • Look for top level form from European shippers; the days of sending second strings are gone.
  • Upgrade the chances of closers with a strong late kick.